Wednesday, 14 March 2018

Don't be left Out - Festival Day 2



Well the going maybe didn't have as much effect on the runners as we thought yesterday with some of the times, namely the Grade 1's over 2m, being slow by between 10.40 to 14.00s and a check on the time of the first race will show where we are at.

By the end of yesterday the going had changed to soft, heavy in places and Simon Claisse thinks it will be soft all over by the time of the first race and it will continue drying throughout the afternoon as no more rain is expected to this evening which will then more than likely put heavy back in the description.  

When the going gets tough the old ones get going and we had evidence of that again yesterday when the oldest horse in the race won the 4m National Hunt Chase, namely Rathvinden aged 10 at 9/2. Rocklander was the oldest in the Close Brothers Novices Handicap Chase 40 mins later and he finished 3rd at 25/1.

My own bets didn't get off to a good start yesterday but I had ew singles on Melon, Impulsive Star and Rocklander as the afternoon went on.

Trainerwise Willie Mullins, Nicky Henderson, Tom George, Henry De Bromhead and Neil Mulholland had at least 2 horses running well so keep an eye out for their runners today.
Jockeywise Ruby Walsh, Davy Russell, Noel Fehily and Jack Kennedy all had two or more in the frame.

Onto the racing

1.30 Ballymore Novices Hurdle
Everyone would have you believe that this is a penalty kick for Samcro but the same was thought about Apple's Jade on Day 1 and things don't always pan out how we expect. Mullins runs four all together and all look good and the strongest stayer of the bunch may well be Brahma Bull who is unbeaten in 4 races to date and who won easily over nearly 3m last time out on yielding going and if I can get 33/1 I'll take a chance on him ew at small stakes. Black Op is the best of the British hopefuls but I think this is one for the Irish.

2.10 RSA Insurance Novices Chase
This looks a very good race to me and I'm hoping Elegant Escape can do it for the home time but it's not a race I will be having a bet on.

2.50 Coral Cup Handicap Hurdle
27 runners go to post so there should be plenty of divots to fill after this for the groundstaff. At the bottom of the handicap Mischevious Max has crept in via J. P. McManus taking out Project Bluebook which I find interesting. Mischevious Max was an eyecatcher for me when he was 2nd over the course and distance in November when he made rapid progress from the rear on the wide outside to be beaten three lengths by Coole Cody.
Aidan Coleman probably wouldn't put his rides at the festival at the top of his CV but he may have found an opportunity through Le Breuil. Ben Pauling seems quite confident that he will go well saying "he is in fantastic form, very well handicapped on his best form and goes there as good as we can get him"and that is good enough for me.

2.50 Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase
I'm sitting this one out, making a cup of tea and just watching the sparks fly!

4.10 Glenfarclas Chase
Hopefully I won't fall asleep during this one!

4.50 Boodles Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle
You can't overlook Paul Nicholls in this with 3 wins and 6 places from his 17 runners in the last 10 years and no other trainer comes near that and Grand Sancy is well worth an ew bet at 20/1 if still available. Others to look out for are The King Of May, Solo Saxaphone and Lisp.

5.30 Weatherbys Champion Bumper
The going for this race should be the best of the week by the sounds of things and may even be approaching good to soft by racetime. If that is so then the stand out horse for me has to be DIDTHEYLEAVEUOUTTO who has a superior turn of foot to anything else in the race. He showed that turn of foot in great style at Lingfield first time out and then followed that up in a Listed bumper at Ascot which contained no less than 9 previous winners. He did that without really being asked a question up the home straight and with Barry Geraghty giving him a nudge to power away to win well. This is a serious horse who I believe will win at future festivals and Barry Geraghty will surely be thinking this am that he has got off the winner. Now that the going is drying out it may well end up similar surface to his Ascot race which he coped with well and he is my bet of the day at 16/1.
Others in the race to watch are THEBANNERKINGREBEL who could be underrated THE BIG BITE and ACEY MILAN and I think this will be a win for the home team.

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