Thursday, 7 April 2016

Aintree - Day One

Good Morning!!

I will try and be as concise as possible today as I'm off to the course about 11.00am. There has been a good bit of rain overnight and it will more than likely ride soft on Day One. There's some dry weather later so it will dry up as we go through the day but it's nothing like Cheltenham going.

Last night was a great evening at the preview and Warren Greatrex is a very funny guy.

Harry Whittington was keen on Arzal(1st) as you might expect in the first. He missed Cheltenham so comes here a fresh horse but Garde Le Victoire, Sizing John and Rock The World will all make life difficult.

Apples Jade(1st) and Footpad should give Ivanovich Gorbatov more to do in the 2.15 on this going and Paul Nicholls has Diego Du Charmil and Romain De Senam but not sure how those two will act on the softer going. I would have been keen on the latter if the going had been a bit faster but Nicholls had 5 4yo's in the Triumph and he couldn't win that so I can't see him winning this.

Cue Card(1st) in the 2.50 Betfred Bowl likes a bit of cut so may go even better than at Cheltenham but he took a mother and father of a fall there and it will have left its mark both physically and mentally. Don Poli may be the one to benefit with the going being softer than at Cheltenham and Brian Cooper may be able to get him more competitive on a track at which he beat Many Clouds. Beyond the top three in the market its difficult to be convinced about any of the others causing an upset.

Annie Power(1st) should have conditions right up her street and for me its money in the bank for Mullins/Walsh combo - the only negative would be that Mullins doesn't have a great record at the track and with the gap between the two meetings being only 3 weeks and the fact that his horses have all had to travel over twice they may not be able to perform on the big stage for a second time.

The Foxhunters and the following handicap could be the races to get your value - I've already backed Major Malarkey at 25/1 in the hope that he can get off with the others, take up the lead and then build up a big gap that nobody else can catch - he was several lengths up in the Cheltenham Foxhunters at this distance so its a possibility if his jockey can hold it all together. On The Fringe(1st) though will not mind the going and he won in a canter here last season so he must be there or thereabouts again as will Nicholls Pacha Du Polder who won't be ridden like a non trier this time with Will Biddick in the saddle.

The Red Rum Handicap Chase is very open there are several horses with chances and even last years winner Surf And Turf could cause another upset on a going day. I was pretty keen on Dandridge(2nd) as he did incredibly well to finish second to Solar Impulse having made a bad blunder at the first fence at the festival. There are words about for the likes of Fayette County, Pearls Legend and Minella Present but the latter hasn't run for 146 days and that doesn't usually help in championship events.

The bumper looked to be a walk over for La Bague Au Roi according to the pundits during the week but Warren Greatrex was pretty worried last night about there being too much rain - but he has a good line to the form through his other unbeaten bumper horse The Nipper and he was very keen on his horse otherwise.
Augusta Kate(2nd) will like this going so will be a difficult opponent and Theatre Territory and Little Miss Poet could make up the frame.

Good Luck

1 comment:

  1. A good day for the blog yesterday - Although no bets were put up the reviews found 5 winners!