Wednesday, 24 February 2016

Nicholls goes into Overdrive !!

A great day for the Paul Nicholls stable yesterday with 3 winners and a second from 4 runners. I said a couple of weeks ago that this could be a big month for Nicholls and that he might better his 2013 haul of 22 winners in February and he is now on 18 wins with 5 days of the month to go - Come On!!

Unfortunately for the blog yesterday we were on the one Nicholls runner that came second - albeit we backed it ew.

The 2016 sprint horses to follow review that I'm currently undertaking is coming along nicely and I have a number of potential improvers logged into my horse tracker system.
I won't be publishing a full list this year unless anyone is willing to pay for it in advance ? I will be approaching the sprint flat season on a race by race basis with a view to achieving as high a strike rate as possible with a decent profit.
Also over the next couple of months I will be starting up a new venture so blog posts may become a bit thin on the ground during that time - but there will always be winners so keep reading as often as you can.  

Paul Nicholls
Ludlow - Soft
2.10 Bugsie Malone has been given plenty of time and is a chaser of the future but for now he goes down the hurdling route. He's won a point to point although it was said that he was green in running.
He started his campaign at Doncaster over 3m 96y on soft in a Class 4 novices hurdle in which he finished a good 3rd of the 8 runners after lacking a bit of tactical speed towards the finish - but that may just have been the way the stables horses were generally performing at the time.
He needs experience and hopefully his run on 12/12 will have brought him forward - although he may prefer better going. Today's race is a Class 4 maiden hurdle over 2m 7f 174y on soft and he has every chance of recording a win under Sam Twiston Davies.

Doncaster - Hurdles Course - Good. Chase Course - Good, good to soft in places

2.00 Lou Vert ran four times on the flat before switching to hurdles in France where he made a good impression when finishing 3rd in a maiden hurdle at Auteuil in March. Behind him that day were both Fixe Le Kap, who won a juvenile hurdle at Warwick for Henderson by 28 lengths on 28/01 and is now 10/1 for the Triumph and Romain De Senam rated 136h.
He was beaten three and three quarter lengths there having made headway on the approach to the last where he was untidy.
He has been acquired by his syndicate of celebrity friends presumably with Cheltenham in mind,
He won when wearing first time cheekpieces in France and he wore a first time tongue on his return and first start for this stable at Taunton at the beginning of the month where he finished a tired 4th of the 11 runners in a Class 4 novices hurdle over 2m 104y on heavy.
He is sure to have come on for that run and this better going will be much more up his street. Nick Schofield will hopefully be able to show off some of his flat speed at the business end in this 4yo juvenile hurdle in which he receives 7lb off the two previous winners and he has a decent chance. He is short in the betting so although he may well win he is not one for blog betting purposes.

Dan Skelton
2.00 Crockery was placed in all three point to points with the form of the races working out well. She started the season in a Class 6 2m bumper at Chepstow in which she received a 7lb mares allowance and Bridget Andrews 5lb claim - however she could only finish a staying on 4th of the 14 runners. 
She then went to Huntingdon a couple of weeks later under David England for a Class 4 NH novices hurdle over 2m 3f 137y on good to soft going where she weakened alarmingly down the back straight and finished tailed off.
She was given a break and returned on 12/02 at Kempton in a Class 4 novices hurdle stepped up in distance once again to 2m 5f and back with Bridget Andrews on board. This time she tracked the leaders until losing her place after three hurdles out and was left behind to finish 8th of the 13 runners.
Harry Skelton rides her for the first time today and she drops back down to 2m 140y on good going in this Class 4 NH novices hurdle so she has every chance of at least staying the trip this time

4.40 Focaccia starts off in a 2m bumper and is best watched for now.

No bets today

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