Wednesday, 3 February 2016

Along comes another !



After Saturdays 12/1 advised winner the blog followed up yesterday with Sonny The One winning at 11/4 (7/2 when blog posted). 
He was always at the head of affairs and jumped soundly in the main and although there was a scare that he may be caught up the run in he hung on dourly. He may not win again once re assessed but that doesn't matter for the purposes of the blog.

As we move closer to Cheltenham I'll be widening the net as far as my bets go - so be warned !

On to today - there are three meetings and it's just the one runner each for teams Nicholls and Skelton.

Paul Nicholls
Leicester - Heavy on Hurdles track. Soft, heavy in places on the chase track.
1.50 Just Acting joined the Nicholls stable last January after a good run when finishing 2nd in a maiden point in Ireland in December and Nicholls is said to like this big chasing sort a fair bit. Two lengths behind him that day in third was Wade Harper, a full brother to Cole Harden, who has since franked the form as well as others in the race. As he's owned by J P McManus Barry Geraghty takes the ride which is a positive - however there is a chance he may just need the run as some of the stables other novices have done this season on the heavy going - but 5/1 with 888sport at quarter odds on the first two home he's worth a punt.

Dan Skelton
Newcastle - Soft, heavy in places.
2.35 Pain Au Chocolat ran five times over Hurdles last season for Alan King progressing into Grade 1 class and a rating of 140h. 
He was purchased at the Doncaster May Sales and he returned at Market Rasen for a Class 3 novices chase over 2m 1f on good going where he was a little bit disappointing in receipt of the 4yo allowance when weakening to finish third as the stable thought he was much better than that. 
He then went to Haydock for a Class 2 novices chase over 1m 7f 157y on heavy going which he won by a driven out one and a quarter lengths from Aso who has franked the form since and Pain Au Chocolat clearly relished the softer going. 
Harry Skelton thought he would improve for the run and he should have too much in the locker for today's opposition, although he no longer has the 4yo allowance, but he's long odds on so no bet.

This year the Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide, for I think the first time, is not written by Paul Jones but by Matt Tombs. Can't say I know too much about him so I will be giving it a miss as they've also increased the price as it's full colour but that won't pick the winners !. 
Paul Jones now has his own website if you wish to make a pilgrimage.

Bets
1 point win Just Acting @ 5/1 888sport - 9/2 elsewhere

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