Tuesday, 29 December 2015

Racing Post finally wakes up !!



Hope you've all had a great few days holiday. I took a few days off from writing the blog which in the end wasn't too bad a thing, for me, as both stables failed to find a winner.
Paul Nicholls string hasn't been firing properly for a good few weeks now and he seems to be having a large number of runners being pulled up and the stables form has now been acknowledged by the stable and the racing press.
That said team Ditcheat are back out today with 4 runners at Newbury presumably in the hope that whatever is ailing the stable will work it's way out and they have some scope for finding the winners podium.

Paul Nicholls
Last winner - 19th December
Current form(last 16 runners) - U4336F24P37P3P662222
Newbury
12.15 - Tommy Silver - Third foal; brother to French 2m1f and 2m2f (Listed) hurdle winner Cross In Hand; dam French 2m1f hurdle winner, half-sister to two French hurdle/chase winners up to 2m5f; 28-1, came from rear when third of ten on Flat at Clairefontaine (1m4f, good to soft) in June. - 2nd

2.00 - Politologue  is well bred out of a Grade 1 chase mare and is said to be capable of making up into a decent novice hurdler. He is a chaser for the future but has shown eye catching form in France and will be another exciting grey to add to the John Hales team. However he unseated his rider at Cheltenham on 11/12 in a Class 3 NH novices hurdle qualifier when yet to make his effort. This is a decent 3 runner race and although Politologue may turn out to be above average in time he may play second fiddle today given his stables current run of form. No headgear has been applied as a result of him running out so presumably that has been ironed out at home. - 2nd

2.35 - Stilletto is one of a number of horses sent to the stable over the summer by Roger Brookhouse this one having been with Philip Hobbs. He returned at Haydock when in need of the outing and finished 3rd behind Rock The Kasbah. He is a big horse not short of ability and he is reported to have needed plenty of work prior to his return. He was switched to the larger obstacles at Catterick last time out in a Class 4 Beginners chase over 2m 3f on good to soft going and he won the same by one and a quarter lengths from Amore Alato who next time out at Ascot had a Grade 2 novice chase at his mercy when falling at the last fence - the fortunate winner was Nicholls 142c rated Le Mercurey. Off a mark of 132c Stilletto is potentially ahead of the handicapper in this Class 3 novices limited handicap chase over 2m 92y on soft. If he settles better this time and improves further then he should have a good chance of extending his winning run and 11/4 is a fair price. - 2nd 

3.10 - San Benedeto has had 13 races under rules to date with 7 of those being over hurdles having started his career in France. He won twice last season at Wincanton and Stratford the latter of those coming in a Class 4 novices hurdle when he beat Set The Trend when wearing a hood for the first time due to running free in earlier races. He likes good ground and a flat track as he is said to be a speedy type. However that said he returned on heavy over 2m 4f at his local track Wincanton and after settling well he came through to win as he liked. He went up 12lb for that win and under a 6lb penalty he then contested the Gerry Fielden listed hurdle at Newbury on 26/11 over 2m 69y on soft and finished 5th of 7 behind Sternrubin where he weakened after two out which was put down to the race coming too soon. He is running off a mark of 140h today and Haary Cobden takes off a useful 7lb in this Class 2 handicap hurdle back over 2m 4f 118y on soft going. Having had 33 days off since Newbury he can hopefully put up a better performance and 7/1 at a quarter the odds for 1st and 2nd looks tempting. 2nd

Dan Skelton
Last winner - 19th December
Current form(last 13 runners) - P252P434P34F2394
Doncaster
12.35 - Chap is one to watch for now. He is from the same family as Marello; won only start in points and won well in a bumper at Aintree (good) in May; disappointing on stable debut in good Cheltenham bumper last month and goes hurdling now in this Class 4 NH novices hurdle over 2m 3f 120y. - 9th

Newbury
12.15 - Kasakh Noir is a big rangy horse. He won a bumper in France at Argentan over 2m 2f on good going by 8 lengths - quickening up to score easily after kicking clear two out. He opened his account for this stable on his first start when winning a Class 3 juvenile hurdle at Newbury over 2m 69y on soft going. He was very impressive that day leading on the bit two out and cruising he was eased down to a 16 length success. He is a chaser in the making but continues his learning in another juvenile hurdle under a 10lb penalty - but the way he won last time he should take all the beating. - 3rd

3.45 - Oldgrangewood is said to be a big, strong future chaser having won a 4yo maiden point at Lingstown in Ireland in a good time and jumping well. He was subsequently purchased by Anthony Bromley at the Brightwells March Cheltenham festival sale for £70,000. The stable seem to like him and having progressed over the summer he gave a good account when finishing 2nd on his first run for the stable at Market Rasen in a Class 4 NH novices hurdle over 2m 2f 140y on good to soft. He took a keen hold there and although fairly well beaten he was the only one to give the winner a race and he looks open to improvement although this is probably a better race. - 4th

Bets

Stilletto - 1 point win at 11/4 generally

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