Wednesday, 30 December 2015

Haydock Goes Ahead!!!!

Paul Nicholls hit the bar a few times yesterday when having 4 seconds from 4 runners and he will be hoping to go one better today at Taunton.
Both trainers send runners for the 2.50 and with the entire field having won last time out it will make for interesting viewing.

Paul Nicholls
Taunton - Soft, heavy in places
1.45 - Modus finished 2nd in the Champion bumper at the Cheltenham festival behind Moon Racer. He then finished 3rd behind Bellshill and Disko at Punchestown. He changed hands for 190,000GBP and returned to the fray at Taunton to win a Class 3 novices hurdle over 2m 3f on good going readily. He then went to Newbury and won another Class 3 novices hurdle at the shorter distance of 2m 69y and he looks a top prospect as you would expect. He probably would appreciate a faster run race on better going as he would be able to settle better but I would imagine this will be a muddling affair on this soft/heavy going - however the bigger field should help. He's back up in distance to 2m 3f 1y in this Class 4 event and he has to carry a 10lb penalty against the likes of Board Of Trade whom Alan King has previously described as exciting. 
Nicholls has said that Modus is a work in progress and that he won't get serious with his training until the New Year and whilst he will probably win I don't think he is a betting proposition at odds on. 
I would  much rather chance The Fresh Prince being placed at the long odds of 25/1 as I thought he looked like a horse that would appreciate a hurdle/fence when I saw him at Aintree in a bumper at the beginning of November and I would imagine he will have come on a fair bit for that.

2.50 - Lifeboat Mona was a winning Irish pointer - she contested 4 bumpers last season winning the first two at Warwick and Huntingdon with the latter being a listed event. She was then third at Sandown in another listed bumper before being over the top when running at Aintree. She has had problems with her wind and was therefore operated on over the summer. She is a nice exciting prospect that will appreciate jumping and the mares hurdles are an attractive proposition for her.
She was heavy odds on when she returned in a Class 4 mares maiden hurdle at her local track recently and duly obliged as expected. She ran there instead of a Listed Bumper at Huntingdon on the following Sunday for which she had been entered.
This listed mares novice hurdle however is far tougher with all seven runners having won last time out and Willie Mullins sends over the unbeaten Myska for this high profile looking race.
Given the Nicholls stable recent run of form and the fact that a lot of horses don't seem to be finishing their races off,  even in lesser events, you couldn't be confident about backing Lifeboat Mona today.

Dan Skelton
Haydock - Heavy

3.05 - Its' Afreebee had been progressive in Irish bumpers and was again when justifying favouritism by 8l at Bangor (2m, soft) seven weeks ago on his hurdling debut. He was then sold out of Mark Fahey´s for 55,000GBP two days later and has his first run for Dan Skelton today. He has a 7lb penalty for his win which is offset by Bridget Andrews 5lb claim. He seems to operate on soft and should appreciate the step up in distance.

Taunton - soft, heavy in places
2.50 - Girly Girl won an Irish point to point in February and had her first start for this stable on 1st April at Towcester in a Class 6 Bumper in which she was second to Nicky Henderson's Coole Charmer. She won on her return under Bridget Andrews in a bumper at Worcester over 2m on Good going and then ran in a Class 4  mares novices hurdle at Plumpton over 2m 4f  114y on good to soft which she won with Harry Skelton riding. She stays and jumps well and she could be a tough nut to crack as she has been ridden from the front for both her wins this season.
Whether she can step up again in this listed event remains to be seen against top opposition on much softer going and with only two places on offer in this 7 runner field for me it's not worth the risk.

No bets on the stables runners but The Fresh Prince is worth a small ew in the 1.45 at Taunton.

1 comment:

  1. We got a good run out of The Fresh Prince but not quite sure what Leighton Aspell was trying to do when they went a bit quick up the home straight first time round - but for that he may well have been placed and I could have collected on 40/1 with Ladbrokes!!