Friday, 11 December 2015

A Cheltenham Friday



A lot to get through today on what promises to be a fascinating days racing.

Paul Nicholls
Cheltenham - Soft, Good to Soft in places
12.00 - Vincente is suited by going left handed and good ground. He is a winner of 3 chase races this season with the latest coming here on 14/11 and although he has to give weight away 13/2 is probably a fair price if he can stay error free as he is an improving horse. 4th

1.10 - Some Buckle is another to have come from the Roger Brookhouse exodus from Tom George and several of these have previously been needing their first run. He ran 5 times last season winning just the once at Southwell when beating Mad Jack Mytton. He is on a mark of 135 and he has always been thought of as a potential decent chaser so this may be a springboard to his first chase. NR

1.45 - Wonderful Charm often goes well fresh and after winning first time out last season at Newton Abbot he didn't win again although he ran some fair races. He needs a flat track and decent ground as he doesn't go on soft so things are slightly against him ground and track wise although he has run fairly well here previously. The Grand National is his long term target. A 7yo he has had problems with his breathing in the past and he remains on a career high chase rating of 159c. 2nd 15/2

2.20 - Sire Collonges - I'm not keen on the Cross Country races other than the festival. 2nd 7/1

2.55 - The Eaglehaslanded is versatille in the fact that he has won a point to point, bumper and two novice hurdles. He came up against the useful Sykes last time at Chepstow when beaten three quaters of a length in his first handicap off a mark of 121h. He has gone up 4lb for that but Sykes ran well off a 7lb higher mark at Newbury behind Missed Approach and Billy No Name. The going should be fine today, he stays well and he should be in the mix. 4th - Not sure from where the flood of money came for The Eaglehaslanded

3.25 - Politologue is well bred out of a Grade 1 chase mare and is said to be capable of making up into a decent novice hurdler. He is a chaser for the future but has shown eye catching form in France and will be another exciting grey to add to the John Hales team. However that said he has to overcome a 10lb penalty here against opposition that equally turn out to be as good as him in the long run. UR

Doncaster - Good to Soft, Good in places
3.00 - Katgary has always been highly tried by the stable at Grade 1 tracks(finished 2nd in the Fred Winter in 2014) and after losing his way last season (8066) he eventually came good in a Class 3 Handicap Hurdle at Newbury over 2m 4f 180y on Good to Soft in first time cheekpieces where he was prominent throughout. Having had the one disappointing run over fences as a Novice he returned to that sphere at Fakenham in a Class 3 over 2m 5f on good going and won. This is a better race than that and is probably best watched as he has to shoulder a 7lb penalty against a Henderson hotpot who is on a par with Vaniteux and he destroyed a decent bunch at Kempton on his return. 3rd of 3

3.30 - Abidjan is two from two in novices this term and now turns his attentions to handicapping. He was a French bumper winner and is said to be another chaser in the making at Ditcheat. He had been a little slow to mature but has shown improved form of late and hopefully he should be able to keep on the upward curve provided he gets the decent ground required like today and Harry Cobden takes off a handy 7lb. 5th

Dan Skelton
Cheltenham
3.25 - North Hill Harvey was purchased for £100,000 at Cheltenhams April Sales after winning an English point to point with ease. He is another chaser of the furture but he should make his mark over hurdles too. He started the season finishing 2nd to Barters Hill at Huntingdon where after making a mistake two out he was allowed to come home in his own time there being 21 lengths back to the third horse home. He jumps well and the stable have been impressed with him so with improvement likely he should be capable of a bold show. 1st 4/1

Bangor
2.05 - Heron's Heir won a 7 runner bumper in Ireland on his first run and on the back of that was thrown straight into a Listed bumper at Ascot finishing 7th of 9. His next and final run was in a novice hurdle at Newbury when he finished 5th behind Cole Harden but the trainer readily admitted that it was his fault that the horse didn't perform to his capabilities in either race. Dan Skelton has, a lot of time for this horse and although he'd been off for 664 days he ran an ok race at Huntingdon on his return and he should be all the better for that. He should give the fav a run for his money in receipt of 7lb on going that he will like. 3rd

Doncaster
12.10 - Mister Kalanisi returned from a very long break at Bangor last time when 3rd of 7 in a bumper when he faded towards the finish. He is said to have plenty of ability from what he's shown at home and he starts of a hurdles in a Class 5 maiden hurdle in which he could put up a bold show under David England if he has come on for that run after the long absence. 5th

1.20 - Benissimo ran in a Class 3 at Cheltenham last time after finishing 4th of 6 at Fontwell. At Cheltenham he was always in the rear and was tailed off come the end and that effort can be written off. He is another that will probably be seen in a better light when he goes over fences. He's down 8lb in the ratings (114h) since the start of the season and with the going and trip ok he has ew possibilities in this easier race if he can recapture last seasons form. 8th

Bets

There is a lot to get your head round today and there are a few above that are ew prices so a multiple bet of some kind may be in order on the likes of  Wonderful Charm 8/1,The Eaglehaslanded 11/1, Mister Kalanisi 10/1 and Benissimo 12/1.

Abidjan - 1 point win @ 3/1 generally

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