Monday, 2 November 2015

Tuesday at Exeter



Well I was pretty bang on yesterday albeit I didn't make a selection but had Billy Merriot not been brought down he may have gone close to winning if not winning.

Tomorrow we just have the meeting at Exeter and there are a few runners for the stables as follows :

Paul Nicholls
1.20 - Boa Island was purchased at the November Cheltenham sale after finishing 3rd in a bumper on his only start at Ayr last season. He then won two point to points for Jack Barber so he obviously has some ability. He is a horse with plenty of scope that jumps well and he should be up to winning one of these albeit he is up against some decent sorts at Exeter including Skelton's Walking In The Air.

2.20 - Vibrato Valtat is one of the stable stars and a top class chaser. He has been targeted at the Haldon Gold Cup so he should be ready to do himself justice. Although he had a breathing op the summer before last he still continues to wear a tongue tie. He has raced mainly over 2 miles but Nicholls thinks he will be competitive at 2m 4f. He kept improving last season and he's still a 6yo. He's a strong traveller who is held up so hopefully someone will go on such as Third Intention to make the pace. It's a competitive race but if all fell into place he has a lively chance of winning.

2.50 - Southfield Vic won four times over hurdles last season and the stable are hoping he makes up into a nice staying chaser and he starts over 3m here. He could have started off in another hurdle but they've chosen to go straight over fences so he must be progressing well. He is suited by decent ground so it may be a bit softer than he prefers, although he did win twice on soft last season, but he stays very well. The stable have a line on the form from Abracadabra Sivola who was second to the stables Its A Close Call at Chepstow recently. Having already had a run The Tourard Man should be able to reverse previous form with Flintham on level weights. NR

Dan Skelton
1.20 - Walking In The Air joined the stable after winning a point to point in Ireland. He then won a bumper at Warwick in a good fashion. He is a scopey horse that could be anything. He would prefer soft going which he gets here and he should stay 3m. The stable seem quite excited by his prospects and I would expect him to be fully tuned up for this as he has been catching the eye on the stables grass gallop. Although this is a competitive looking novice the stable expect him to take high rank in this division and you would hope he would go close to winning this.

1.50 - Welsh Shadow is another from the stable that is highly thought of being related to Celestial Gold and he won his bumper by 7 lengths beating Duelling Banjo's who won the Class 4 novices hurdle at Kempton yesterday. Like the previous horse he may well be heading to Cheltenham come March and therefore a bold showing is expected here, although he has a tough nut to crack in Yanworth who was 4th in the Cheltenham bumper a great source for future winners. 2nd to Yanworth

Bets
1 point win Vibrato Valtat @ 100/30 Tote Sport and Betfred - 1st
1 point win Walking In The Air @ 100/30 Bet365 and Bet Victor - 5th

2 comments:

  1. For me, Vibrato Valtat needs to have improved at least 7lb over the summer, but really (up against top 2-mile chasers) he needs also to have something up his sleeve and 10-12lb of improvement may be required.
    I'd have
    God's Own @ 7/4,
    Sire De Grugy @ 100/30, and
    Vibrato Valtat @ 9/2
    with
    Third Intention @ 5/1
    Dunraven Storm @ 12/1
    Good luck

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  2. Vibrato Valtat won well despite a last fence blunder.
    He has obviously improved but he is a young horse in a stable that knows how to get them ready first time up and he may well improve further as the season unfolds.

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