Friday, 30 October 2015

Saturday Sizzlers !



Well a decent ew punt on Fago yesterday nearly came off big time but he made an error at the last and as I thought Sam Twiston Davies wasn't too hard on him up the straight allowing him to creep into it. He was jumping fantastically up to his error and the stable now surely have something to build on and hopefully he can live up to his reputation.

Onto tomorrow and with limited time available I am just covering the Dan Skelton runners at Ascot.

Dan Skelton

Ascot
12.40 - Bekkinsfrth is a big strong horse who will progress and improve as and when he steps up to chasing over 3m. The stable are hopeful that he can pick up a couple of hurdles along the way and they won this race two years ago. It was a fair effort on his first run back aftre 6 months and that should have blown away any cobwebs. The extra distance will be of benefit as will the stiff Ascot track.

1.10 - Ch'Tibello's novice status runs out on 1st November so they just scrape into this one. He put in a decent performance on the flat in France for this stable before winning his only Hurdle at Compeigne over 2m 1f on heavy. He jumps well and is not short of speed. He was beaten by the 135 rated Francis Of Assisi last time out in a 3 runner bumper going down by a neck. He faces another John Ferguson horse here rated 132 so it will be interesting to see how he gets on with him but there are other strong contenders from the Henderson and McCaire camps which make this a tough assignment.

2.15 - Bellenos returns in blinkers that he wore for his last two races last season after he had a wind op. Described as a frustrating sort by his trainer having failed to get his head in front since April 2014. He appears to like Ascot, he has never fallen and he starts his campaign 6lb lower than his last winning mark. The stable think he is capable of winning a decent chase and if he can get his act together it could be soon although this race looks competitive.

2.50 - Closest Friend trotted up at Market Rasen winning by 17 lengths and as a result he has been given a fair mark of 127. He beat Jethro there but he finished last of 6 on his next start. Going right handed suits him hence the Ascot entry and he is a good jumper. There was no rush to get him out under a penalty and he comes into this bang on 10 stone but there are some decent sorts to overcome as in all races at Ascot but he must have place prospects at the very least.

3.25 - What A Warrior won his first two starts last season including this race on his second run back beating Black Thunder off a mark of 135. He resumes on a mark of 140 and this race has been the plan to get his season off on a good footing and he is spot on to do so according to his trainer. He needs good ground to show his best and he gets that here so he must have an excellent chance of following up last years win and improving his rating again.

Wetherby
2.30 - Stephanie Frances

Paul Nicholls runners

Ascot
1.10 - Chartbreaker
1.45 - Anatol
2.15 - Ulck Du Lin
3.25 - Virak

Wetherby
3.05 - Sam Winner
3.40 - Mon Successeur

Down Royal
2.10 - Ptit Zig
2.40 - Rocky Creek

I will have a look at the betting and the morning news before putting up any wagers.

I've been slightly busy this am hence the late post.

Nicholls doesn't sound overly confident about any of his horses winning today - more of a waiting game.

Of the Skelto runners there are some decent prices and he has been placing his horses well so I am inclined to back Bellenos, Closest Friend and What A Warrior all 1 point ew.

Good Luck!!

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