Friday, 16 October 2015

Saturday Once Again !

It was a good days racing on Friday for the stables we are following with both recording wins. However I'm not sure the Paul Nicholls team are as forward as they would like to be despite a lot of their horses coming back into training on 1st July. Maybe this is reflected in the fact that he only has 1 runner on Saturday and the same on Sunday.


Dan Skelton

2.05 Adrakhan - Was given a light campaign last season running just three times. His best run came when he was 2nd in a Class 4 3yo Juvenile Hurdle at Warwick over 2m on Soft when he was beaten by Chatez who went on to win the Doncaster Spring Mile on the flat in March beating Buckstay.
Adrakhan progressed on his first two runs and the soft going put paid to his run at Musselburgh and he can be forgiven that. He starts on a mark of 112h and his first race is a Class 4 Maiden Hurdle in which he should be capable of putting up a good show, if he is straight enough, as he should appreciate the good going.

3.15 Pain Au Chocolat - Ran five times over Hurdles last season for Alan King progressing into Grade 1 class and a rating of 140h. He was purchased at the Doncaster May Sales and the plan is for him to utilise his 4yo allowance and run at the Paddy Power meeting at Cheltenham in the Grade 2 Novice Chase on 15th November. 
If he can recapture his form from the beginning of last season he will make up into an exciting Novice Chaser and you would hope, given the stables ambitions, he should win this without much fuss if he is forward enough in his work.


Paul Nicholls

2.55 Ceasar Milan - Could be well handicapped, according to his trainer, on the basis of his run when 2nd behind Whisper at Exeter on New Years Day whom he beat three and a quarter lengths when conceding 3lbs. Whisper is now rated 167h as he went on to win the Stayers Hurdle at the Grand Natioonal meeting at Aintree. The plan for Ceasar Milan, who is rated 138c is to possibly go for the Paddy Power Gold Cup at Cheltenham - he was meant to go there in March for the festival but a schooling fall led to him not running. You would hope that he will arrive here pretty near to his "A" game and if he does then he should win.

Dan Skelton

3.30 Rock Of Leon - Ran three times over the jumps last season winning first time out at Fontwell when scraping home after idling having looked set to win by further. He was tried in a Grade 2 next time out at Haydock but he wasn't up to it. The stable think there is definitely more to come and he's pitched straight into a handicap hurdle off 124h and it's just a case of whether he's forward enough on his first start as he will need to be to beat race fit rivals.

5.15 The Shropshire Lad - Probably not one of the stables leading lights but Bridget Andrews certainly is and she should get a good run from The Shropshire Lad who wears blinkers for the first time.

I will be taking a break from posting a blog for Sunday's racing to lick my wounds - however I will have a look in the morning to see if there are any betting opportunities on the above, and if so, I will post them in red here. I will be back on Monday as usual.

No bets today. I was considering Adrakhan but I've changed my mind - Caesar Milan will probably need the run according to Nicholls.
There are some stable entries tomorrow and the best chance would appear to lie with Work In Progress 5.30 Kempton.

1 comment:

  1. I reckon 8/1 about Ceasar Milan is value for the place, and I've taken that eachway