Thursday, 15 October 2015

Friday at Wincanton and Fakenham



The bets are not going too good at the moment but hopefully things will change as we progress, however we have managed to "dodge" a few.

Paul Nicholls comes back on the scene today following his slightly disappointing Chepstow meeting, however with another week nearly gone by the horses will be getting that bit straighter at Ditcheat. He sends two runners to his local track at Wincanton tomorrow and his three runners are as follows:

WINCANTON

3.00 Polisky - Ran five times over fences last season winning once first time out here in a Class 3 Novice Handicap Chase where he faced just two opponents and it goes without saying that he is not one of the stable stars as the Hunter Chase option is already being considered for him. A fun horse, as well as being a bit of a character, (wears two forms of headgear) he has slipped back down to a more realistic rating of 122c which on a "going" day could be lenient. The ground should be more or less perfect and it's going to be all about Sam Twiston Davies producing him at the right time to win at a track where his form reads 12F1. He has Tangolan and Forever My Friend to give him a lead. 2nd 7/4

3.35 Full Blast - Purchased after finishing 3rd in a hurdle on heavy going at Enghien as a 3yo. It was thought that he would make a decent recruit to the hurdling ranks of the stable but last season proved to be disappointing as he was running too free in his races. He had a breathing operation in December and is still eligible for Novice Hurdles. However he starts in a handicap hurdle here which may be significant as the horse that finished one place in front of him at Enghien was The Saint James who is now rated 144 after finishing 3rd in the Fred Winter off 136 and 2nd at Aintree, beaten half a length, off 138. Full Blast runs off just 115 here so potentially he could be thrown in however on his return at Newton Abbot in September, where he was second, he was up to his old tricks despite wearing a hood and tongue strap which are employed again today. If he has learnt to settle a bit better following his return he could be well up to winning this. 4th 8/1

FAKENHAM

2.50 Katgary - He has always been highly tried by the stable at Grade 1 tracks(finished 2nd in the Fred Winter in 2014) and after losing his way last season (8066) he eventually came good in a Class 3 Handicap Hurdle at Newbury over 2m 4f 180y on Good to Soft in first time cheekpieces where he was prominent throughout. Having had the one disappointing run over fences as a Novice he returns to that sphere here and being only a 5yo he has time on his side. Although he may need the run to put him right this is an opportunity to start the season with a win on going he should like and the excellent Nick Schofield is in the saddle. 1st 9/4
His main opponent would appear to be Nicky Hendersons Hammersly Lake who was sixth in the Coral Cup behind Nicholls Aux Ptits Soins and was Barry Geraghty's choice of six declared for the race by the stable. On his last run he was second beaten just a neck in the Class 1 Summer Hurdle at Market Rasen and given that he has a 9lb superior hurdle rating than Katgary he could be hard to beat.

Dan Skelton

FAKENHAM


3.25 Charlie's Oscar - Bought at the Doncaster Sales in 2013 he is a full brother to Wilde Blue Yonder trained by Alan King who finished 5th in the 2014 Supreme Novices Hurdle.

Well fancied for both of his bumpers in the spring he was slightly disappointing on both starts. The stable are confident that he can put that form behind him over two and a half miles with a bit of cut in the ground. If he does have the ability of his brother then this is a realistic starting point. 5th 14/1

4.00 Open Hearted - Formerly with Nicky Henderson, for whom he won 6-14, Open Hearted has now made the switch to this stable after being purchased cheaply at the Doncaster Spring Sale. He has since had just the one run 15 days ago in a Class 3 Handicap Chase at Bangor over 2m 4f 72y on Good where he finished a one paced 2nd after running in snatches - wearing a tongue tie for the first time.
He steps up in distance to 3m today which, being a big chasing type and from the family of Spanish Steps, shouldn't be a problem. The trainer is 1-7 over the last 5 seasons in chases here and with some of his horses looking like they have needed a run to put them right Open Hearted has a real chance of winning in this small field. 1st 9/2
Of the others Wisentraum's form at this track is 121 and he is only 3lb higher than when beating Fruity O'Rooney six lengths here last October and these are his ideal conditions so it won't be easy for Open Hearted and Wisentraum makes more appeal at 5/1 bet365 and Coral.

4.35 Istimraar - A former Godolphin inmate Istimraar was purchased by Philip Kirby at the 2014 January Sales for 27,000 and for whom he was 1-11 over hurdles. He has run just once for this stable in a Class 2 Handicap Hurdle over 2m 3f on Good where he finished 5th of 9 after running too freely and keen. A regular wearer of cheekpieces when with Philip Kirby they remain off here and being on a handicap mark of 117 he has room for improvement now the fizz has been taken out of him and with just the 5 opponents he must have a chance of getting off the mark. 2nd 13/8F

5.10 Ch'Tibello - Put in a decent performance on the flat in France for this stable before winning his only Hurdle at Compeigne over 2m 1f on heavy by 4 lengths in a time of 4 mins 20.10s. He remains a Novice until 1st November and he should be well up to winning one of these as he's not short of speed and jumps well - but up against a race fit rival in Francis Of Assisi (OR135) he may need this run here to put him right and 11 entries have run scared already!

Bets

1 point win - Full Blast 5/1 Ladbrokes and William Hill
1 point win - Wisentraum 5/1 bet365 and Coral
0.50 point ew - Charlies Oscar 10/1 bet365 and Ladbrokes
0.50 point ew treble

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