Saturday, 11 April 2015

Aintree - Day 3



Another great day yesterday with a 12/1 advised winner and 33/1 advised 2nd.

Today its all about the Grand National and as with yesterday I'm concentrating on horses that will be up with the pace and my shortlist for that is Across The Bay, Al Co, Balthazar King, Bob Ford, Corrin Wood, Ely Brown, Gas Line Boy, Mon Parrain, Owega Star, Portrait King, Rebel Rebellion, Rocky Creek, Royale Knight, Shutthefrontdoor, Soll, Spring Heeled, Super Duty, Unioniste and Wyck Hill.

That's 19 horses so we need to whittle that down somewhat - I think you have to catch horses on their first time in the race or did not complete the race so we can take out Balthazar King, Rocky Creek and Soll.

Then we need to look at who is likely to get the trip and I'm looking for horses that have showed potential in staying chases. This removes Bob Ford, Corrin Wood, Ely Brown, Mon Perrain, Owega Star, Rebel Rebellion, Spring Heeled, Super Duty and Unioniste.

That leaves Across The Bay(50/1), Al Co(28/1), Gas Line Boy(125/1), Portrait King(80/1), Royale Knight(33/1), Shutthefrontdoor(8/1) and Wyck Hill(80/1). That's a good little starting point for some ew bets and we need to also look at a few others such as the Mullins/Walsh partnership with Ballycassey, can we really allow him, a Grade 1 winner, to go off at 50/1 with the good record they have in the race ? The horse just needs the uniqueness of the course to get his mind on the job.
Cause Of Causes(20/1) and The Druid's Nephew(14/1) are also both well handicapped and can run big races and a combination of any of those should have you cheering come the end.

I backed Cause Of Causes just after he won at Cheltenham and I would advise you add to him Shutthefrontdoor together with Ballycasey and Royale Knight as outsiders.

There are plenty of other races to get involved in too but on my alert list for the last two races are :
5.10 - Cinders And Ashes, Astra De La Cour, One For The Guv'nr and Ruler Of All and Henderson is doing so well with his handicappers this week that you have to seriously consider One For The Guv'nr.
In the 5.40 we have Hollies Pearl, Legend Lady and Sunshine Corner. Peter Bowen loves a winner at the track and I think Legend Lady is overpriced at 25/1.

Have a great day and if you have a real hunch for a winner then don't desert your own thoughts as these are only mine.

Good Luck !
 

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