You would have to think that Noble Strom has excellent prospects of winning Southwells 3.30 over 5f as it is all about whether you can act on this surface and we know he can from his 2nd to Captain Dunne two runs ago when he was at the head of affairs throughout. Since then he has run his best race of the season at Doncaster when pipped by 1/4 of a length by Hoof It and he seems to be on the up at the moment. He is now 4lb higher as a result of that run and 9lb higher than his Southwell run but he is at the top of his game and the trainer and jockey know how to handle a good sprinter or two.
Of course it's not all plain sailing and Rowe Park is 2-2 at the track, his last win was here was in October 2009 off a mark of a 102 and he was only beaten 6 lengths last time out in a Group 2 at Goodwood, although that was 99 days ago and he hasnt got a history of running well after a break to date.
Love Delta won 3 times here earlier in the year and he's recently had a run after a 5 month break and he brings about the best course and distance time into the race. He had only just turned 3 by a month when he cloocked that and he could be open to further improvement on this surface given the stable's continuing good form, however he has 10lb to find on Noble Storm's handicap rating.
I posed a question to Mark Johnston his trainer a few years ago as to why he doesnt have more AW runners when most of his horses are American bred, of course he did answer that in no uncertain fashion by winning the following years AW trainer's championship !
Anyway Noble Storm should have the edge, although I can see Love Delta giving him a good run for his money.
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