Friday, 9 July 2010

Saturdays Sizzlers !!

Well I'm going to look at 4 sprint races today starting with the 2.00 at York a Class 2 6f Handicap and first up is River Falcon, this old stager may be 10 but he's still running with plenty of enthusiasm and his trainer beleives he can pick something up this summer. He's dropped 21lb since the begining of last season so that entitles him to be thereabouts on a course at which he runs well and 16/1 is a fair price. Internationaldebut is another at a big price who runs well at this track and if he comes back to his early season form after his little break he will be running on at the end. Tajneed probably needs a bit of overnight rain and if he gets it he could be my idea of the winner so keep an eye on the weather forecast and going news. Harlech Castle is on a 4 timer but hasnt run for a while so he may need this to show his best.

The City Wall Stakes at Chester over 5f looks to be a penalty kick for Borderlescott who is drawn in stall 2. He has a great record in this race having been 2nd and 1st and he should have too much class for these. Glamorous Spirit was raised a whopping 15lb for her win in Ireland and even though she is well drawn it will be a different story here I'm sure. She had it all her own way in Ireland from what turned out to be a very good draw as all 4 winners on the straight course that day came from stall 1. Also she only just gets 5f and with Chester being on a continous bend the races take longer and therefore a horse has to sustain its effort for longer, for instance this race will take at least 3 secs longer than the Curragh race, so I cant see her lasting out. Captain Dunne finished 2nd last year behind Borderlescott but he is drawn 6 this time compared to 4 last year, so will have it all to do to keep up with the leaders as this race is sure to be run at a fast tempo. Masamah who won here earlier in the year will also be trying to lead from stall 3 but its unlikely he will be able to get in front of Glamourous Spirit and I cant realistically see anything else geting involved apart from maybe Reverance who will be one that is running on at the end.

The 5f Class 2 Handicap At Ascot looks a tricky little puzzle and I'm not sure I'd want to get involved myself. However I will have a look at it and lets see were we end up. Present Alchemy looks a good place to start and he looks to be on the up judged on his latest race were he won by 2 lengths. He's gone up 7lb as a result and the the horse he beat there Solemn should go well in the next as he came up against Desert Poppy at Windsor earlier in the week. Back to Present Alchemy and Hughie Morrison reckons there's definitely more to come from him if he gets a decent surface as he has an engine and Hughie has trained 1 or 2 good sprinters in his time to know the time of day. Judge n' Jury likes Ascot having won here twice before but he really needs a bit of give in the going to show his best and he looks highly unlikely to get that here. Prohibit stepped up last time with the first time cheek pieces in coming 2nd to Parisian Pyramid and Frankie Dettori is a good booking on this track. However Present Alchemy is at the right end of the handicap for a potential improver and he is the one to be on if your having a flutter.

The last race at Chester is the 6f Class 4 Handicap and this can go to Green Park who has been running well without winning this season and he gets a good draw here in stall 2 and its a course where he has a decent record 2212.

Tomorrow's selections :
Borderlescott ***
Present Alchemy *
Green Park *
Tajneed (if overnight rain) *
River Falcon - ew *

3 comments:

  1. Borderlescott ran a great race but jockey Tom Queally was riding the horse for the 1st time and he has only won 2 from 36 rides at Chester before today - that showed when he gave away the rail entering the straight and went down the middle. On the other hand, this was the only ride today for Richard Kingscote and what a peach of a ride he gave the winner Blue Jack. This horse has improved lot's and is now 8 wins from 18 runs when the trip is less than 5f 40yards and zero wins from 11 runs when running further than that. Should not have been 10/1.

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  2. I thought Borderlescott ran a bit flat in the middle of the race, that may have been down to the jockey, ha ran on again at the end. Blue Jack had run well earlier in the year but hadnt been able to progress any further and although this was a win Captain Dunne sort of lets the form down so far as him progressing into a Group performer.

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  3. Are you taking a look at the Stewards Cup? I like the look of STRIKING SPIRIT at 16/1. For him, 6-furlongs on good-to-firm is what he loves. He ran in the Stewards Cup last year when 8th to Genki, but that was on soft going, and he is 4lb better-off on that run and has shown he has the beating of Genki based on Wokingham form (Genki also has 3lb penalty for his recent win). At this stage, so long as the good weather continues, to me he looks the one they have to beat and 16/1 looks good value. He could be worth a small each-way antepost wager, pending knowledge of the draw prior to the race.

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