Tuesday, 20 January 2015

Go Zac !



The application of a hood worked the trick for Zac Brown last time and the headgear will be in place once again as he bids for a quickfire double in the Daily Enhanced "Magic Multiples" At Unibet Handicap at Southwell.

He was switched to the all-weather in October and has since finished 314 at Wolverhampton before winning easily at Chelmsford last time out over 5f.

David Barron appears to have a nice 5f prospect on his hands and while the Fibresand surface is an unknown quantity for him, he clearly has a touch of class and is an improver having only had 11 starts.

Course and Distance winner last time out Scarborough(5/2) probably represents his biggest threat, her course form reading 151131. She was up at the front throughout last time and really dug deep to grind the others down and win going away putting in her best figures to date on RPR and Topspeed. Her trainer thought afterwards that there may be further improvement to come.

Woolfall Sovereign also won over course and distance last time out but he should not get the better of Scarborough on there C and D form.

Selection

2.30 Southwell - ZAC BROWN to win - 2/1

Thursday, 8 January 2015

Dubai World Cup Carnival Begins



The Dubai World Cup Carnival begins today at Meydan racecourse and the 5f handicap sprint at 3.55 worth £46,153.85 will be run on the new turf track.

Last years first and second Ahtoug and Hototo line up once again and the latter is 2lb better off. Hototo, Caspian Prince and Ajjaadd should ensure there is a fast pace and hopefully that will play into the hands of Ahtoug who won going away last year and needs something to aim at.

He doesn't look badly treated at the weights and he is the proven class horse in the race.

Altough 7 he has only had 23 races which is light for a sprinter of his age. He ran here 5 times last winter and thrived (15222) culminating in a second in the Group 1 Al Quoz sprint when an unlucky second in course record time to Amber Sky, his rider having dropped his whip a furlong and a half from the finish.

He finished 5th in the Kings Stand on his next start some 3 months later so clearly goes well fresh as his win at Meydan came after a 5 month break.

Selection

3.55 Meydan - AHTOUG to win 7/2 Coral, 32 Red and 888sport. - Finished 6th

Race went as expected with Caspian Prince and Hototo leading except James Doyle didnt have Ahtoug on the pace. According to RP Charlie Appleby reportedly felt that Ahtoug would come on for the outing. It may well be that after coming so close to G1 glory last season at Meydan  that the stables eyes are fixed on that prize this time around.

Thursday, 18 December 2014

Christmas Cracker !



I must confess I haven't done a blog post for a while but today seems like as good a day as any to put up  a selection from the All Weather racing that is on offer at Wolverhampton and Southwell.
I'm going to focus on Wolverhamptons Class 2 Daily Enhanced "Magic Multiples" at Unibet Handicap over 5f 216 yards run at 5.20pm.
There is  a decent field assembled and Caspian Prince and Ballista look sure to create a fast pace for those held up such as Tarooq, Secondo and maybe even Boom The Groom if they can both overcome their draws in 5 and 8 to get to the front.
Tarooq was one of the top performers on the AW last season at Lingfield and is a favourite of mine having broken the course record there, He has won 4 times at Wolverhampton in the past but that was on the old surface and this is new territory and he is approaching 9,
This will be only Secondo's third run for his trainer Robert Stephens, having previously been trained by Roger Charlton, and it will be only his 12th start in total so he is open to further improvement having won well over C and D LTO in a good time. He is also on a favourable mark with Tarooq on a line through Lancelot Du Lac who has beaten them both.
Caspian Prince has won over further than 5f previously but his last 6 wins have come over the minimum distance and although he should run well it seems unlikely that he will be able to hold the finishing kicks of Secondo or Tarooq. CP is coming back after a break so may run a bit free and he was 8th of 8 in this last season.
It is difficult to judge how good Godolphins Pretend is as he has only run 4 times. His last run was 55 days ago and that was his first run since February. He had head gear on for the first time there and although he travelled well he didnt seem to find much when taking up the lead coming into the straight and looked as though he didnt want to go through with his effort.
Tony Carroll runs three in all with Boom The Groom and Saint Pois joining Caspian Prince. Boom The Groom finished in front of Tarooq last time and they are on the same weight again. Tarooq has better form in the bag but Boom The Groom has youth on his side and can improve again. Saint Pois is interesting having only recently been transferred to this trainer from France where he won 3 on the AW from his 8 races. He is surely open to further improvement and maybe this trainer can bring it out but will today be the day ? -  betting check required.
All in all an interesting little sprint that is sure to throw up its share of winners and give us clues for the remainder of the AW sprinting season.
Selection wise I am going to go with Secondo to win (6/1 Ladbrokes) and I will also do an exacta with Tarooq - you should also keep an eye on Saint Pois.
Over at Southwell there is decent 6 runner claiming race and if money was no object to me I would be looking at claiming Moiety who is a half sister to winning sprinters inc Mirza (5f Group 3) and Millybaa (Listed-placed 6f) out of 5f Group 2 winning half sister to high class sprinter Prince Sabo.

SECONDO - 3rd @ 8/1.

Thursday, 18 September 2014

Ayr Gold Cup 2014



Draw Record last 6 years :
2013 : 19, 18, 22, 16 (26) Good to Soft - Oisin Murphy
2012 : 8, 19, 13, 2 (26) Heavy
2011 : 12, 16, 9, 15 (26) Soft
2010 : 17, 24, 8, 11 (26) Good
2009 : 16, 6, 9, 3 (26) Good
2008 : 20, 21, 26, 11 (27) Heavy
Age of Winner : 5, 6, 4, 5, 5, 4
Results - 
2013 : 1st Highland Colori, 2nd Louis The Pious, Jack Dexter, 4th Heaven's Guest
2012 : 1st Captain Ramius, 2nd Regal Parade, 3rd Maarek, 4th Sholaan 
2011 : 1st Our Jonathan, 2nd Eton Rifles, 3rd Son Of The Cat, 4th Colonel Mak
2010 : 1st Redford, 2nd Victoire De Lyphar, 3rd Hitchens, 4th Genki
2009 : 1st Jimmy Styles, 2nd Barney McGrew, 3rd Knot In Wood, 4th Evens And Odds
2008 : 1st Regal Parade, 2nd Tajneed, 3rd Confuchias, 4th Knot In Wood
2013 Review - 
Another fine renewal of this valuable and prestigious sprint, in which the bottom weights were rated 97. As in the Silver Cup, they raced in two groups at first, before the smaller group of 11 tacked over to join the stands´ side bunch at halfway. That was clearly the place to be and 12 of the first 13 home were drawn in double figures. The time was 0.8sec quicker than the Silver Cup. HIGHLAND COLORI was never far away on the stands´ fence and, after repelling his challengers, won drawing away. 
Time - 1m 12.65s

Friday, 20 June 2014

A Right Royal Saturday !


Saturday sees a couple of the biggest sprints of the season in one day. I may be wrong but I'm not sure we've seen The Wokingham at 5.00pm before.
The Golden Jubilee looks a bit weak for a Group 1 sprint and it could be a big day for one of the number of handicappers in the race. Slade Power is head and shoulders above most of the opposition on speed figures and 4/1 represents a fair price. Gordon Lord Byron(10/1) is back from his travels and there's no Lethal Force or Society Rock this time around so he must be thereabouts.
The Wokingham doesn't really stir the blood either and York Glory last years winner is worth a punt at 12/1.

The Golden Jubilee Stakes - Ascot
History : First run in 1868 as the All Aged Stakes over 1 mile. From 1871 through to 1898 it was run over 2 year old course of about 6f and from 1899 to date over its current distance. It was renamed the Cork and Orrery All Aged Stakes in 1926 and was elevated to Group 1 status and renamed The Golden Jubilee in 2002.
Draw  Record last 6 years:
2013 : 15, 8, 16, 4 (18 ran) Good to Firm - Adam Kirby
2012 : 15, 5, 11, 8 (14 ran) Gd
2011 : 3, 7, 11. 10 (16) Soft
2010 : 21, 12, 16, 4 (24) Good to Firm
2009 : 12, 14, 6, 7 (14) Good to Firm
2008 : 18, 20, 17, 19 (17) Good to Firm
Age of Winner - 4, 6, 4, 4, 3, 3
Result :
2013 : 1st Lethal Force, 2nd Society Rock, 3rd Krypton Factor, 4th Gordon Lord Byron
2012 : 1st Black Caviar, 2nd Moonlight Cloud, 3rd Restiadargent, 4th Soul
2011 : 1st Society Rock, 2nd Monsieur Chevalier, 3rd Star Witness, 4th Elzaam
2010 : 1st Starspangangledbanner, 2nd Society Rock, 3rd Kinsale King, 4th Fleeting Sprit
2013 Review - 
They raced up the middle of the track, but the first three finishers were all positioned towards the near side of the group (like the winners of the Chesham and Wokingham) and may have been at an advantage.LETHAL FORCE, under a good ride from Adam Kirby, saved plenty before being committed and that helped him reverse recent York form with the held-up Society Rock. The time was 0.43 seconds quicker than the Wokingham. 
Lethal Force had looked flattered by his success in last year´s Hungerford Stakes, when he was blinkered for the first time (had earlier worn cheekpieces) and just held on after being allowed to open up a clear advantage. However, he put up an improved performance with the headgear left off on his reappearance and he had clearly progressed a good deal again. He edged slightly left under pressure, but had the race in safe keeping from some way out. 
While Society Rock couldn´t confirm York form with Lethal Force, he dealt with the others quite comfortably. This was the fourth straight year he´s contested this race after taking second in 2010, winning it 2011 and claiming fifth last term.

The Wokingham Stakes - Ascot
History : First run on 21st July 1813 it was named after the town near the course. It was in this race that Lester Piggott recorded his first Royal Ascot win on Malka's Boy in 1952. 
Draw Record last 6 years :
2013 : 22, 18, 15, 29 (26) Good to Firm - Jamie Spencer
2012 : 15, 23, 16, 6 (28) Good
2011 : 11, 16, 15, 3 (25) Soft
2010 : 31, 20, 28, 18 (27) Good to Firm
2009 : 4, 5, 7, 24 (26) Good to Firm
2008 : 1, 26, 6, 23 (27) Good to Firm
Age of Winner : 5, 6, 4, 5, 4, 4
Result :
2013 : 1st York Glory, 2nd Shropshire, 3rd Dinkum Diamond, 4th Khubala
2012 : 1st Dandy Boy, 2nd Waffle, 3rd Hawkeyethenoo, 4th Morache Music
2011 : 1st Deacon Blues, 2nd Waffle, 3rd Pastoral Player, 4th Anne of Kiev
2010 : 1st Laddies Poker Two, 2nd Striking Spirit, 3rd Palace Moon, 4th Knot in Wood
2013 Review - 
They shunned the far side here, with the main bunch racing more towards the middle and a smaller group of six racing stands´ side. The first three raced in the larger group. The final time was 0.43sec slower than the Golden Jubilee.YORK GLORY was held up at the rear of the centre group and travelled strongly as usual. Not asked for his effort until reaching the furlong pole, he picked up well once asked and saw it out strongly. He´d run well in defeat at York last time in a race that´s worked out well, and off just a 2lb higher mark he was fully entitled to be involved here. He was one of only two in the race that holds a Group 1 July Cup entry (the other, the 3yo Glass Office, finished fifth).