Monday, 30 March 2015

Weekend Review -30th March

Well it was a great start to the flat season, we didn't manage to get Dinkum Diamond into a place but on the comments below my Saturday post my brother alias "Wayward Lad" picked the winner in Naadirr.
Naadirr also features along with Tatlisu on my sprinters to follow page(see link above) and he also won at 8/1 on Sunday which was great as I have an interest in him through Middleham Park Racing.
The results on Saturday at Doncaster were certainly influenced by the weather in one way or another. The headwind was very strong and those attempting to lead struggled to last out the distance with those taking cover reserving energy and powering through at the end.
Having been to Doncaster when it's windy I know how hard the wind blows across the track and it would have been a real test for the 2yo's in the Brocklesby but Mark Johnstons Ravenhoe knew his job and started a great 2yo treble for the stable on the day with Rah Rah winning at Kempton and Buratino at Chelmsford. All three won well and it bodes well for the stable over the coming weeks as they have 127 other 2yo's in the yard. 
Johnstons treble must also have been a surprise for team Hannon losing out at Kempton and Chelmsford with their two 2yo's as you would have thought they too would have wanted to get off to a flying start with at least one winner.
Marco Botti's Moohaarib and David O'Meara's Mondialiste, who both ran well in the Lincoln, look worth following. Certainly Moohaarib would have finished a lot closer but for his wayward passage-maybe caused by the head on wind.
There were quite a few hard luck stories over the two days which I've made a note of.

Winners and Losers
This weeks winners and losers accolades go to Charles Hills and Alan King both Weekender columnists.
The "Loser" award goes to Charles Hills for not mentioning his unraced 25/1 3yo maiden winner Pandora in his stable tour and the "Winner" award goes to Alan King who was more up front with the Weekender readers and headlined 14/1 winner Chatez telling us that he had a wind operation, was progressive, should run well and that his official rating of 96 was a fair mark. 

Friday, 27 March 2015

The Cammidge Trophy

The flat season starts tomorrow and the Cammidge Trophy is the first sprint to get our teeth into.

All the runners are coming back from a break so they are evenly matched on that score.

Last season the race was won by Henry Candy with Dinkum Diamond and his post 2014 race comments were as follows  "He ran some good races last year without winning. Sprinters are extraordinary and I´ve always been full of hope that he would come back to winning form. He´s only tiny, but he´s got a huge heart. I see no reason why he won´t stick around Group 3 races this season(2014). As he´s got older, he seems to cope with most types of ground".
He won this first time out last season on soft and the chances are he will have been prepared with this race in mind this time around so he could run above his 10/1 odds on this slightly better going and with the strong Graham Lee booked - he has a definite ew chance.

Jack Dexter won this in 2013 and was third last season. He doesn't have a 5lb penalty this year so has potential to turn the form around with Dinkum Diamond.

It remains to be seen whether Astaire will be better suited by this less competitive field or not. He was campaigned in Group 1 company last season but as we all know there isn't much between these sprinters and I would like to see him get a win on the board first.

Richard Fahey Heaven's Guest finished 6th of 9 last season and he has had this to say recently about his chances this year. "He has a pound or two to find with a couple of these but has come to hand quickly this year, albeit he’s still a little backward in his coat. He’s fit and ready to go".

Marco Botti - Naadirr - "He's in good form and he's working well, I would be a little concerned if the ground turned soft. We have to check the ground to make sure. He wouldn't want it any worse than it is at the moment. He's a fast-ground horse, but he's ready to run and six furlongs is his trip."

Mick Easterby - Aetna - "If it doesn't rain again, she won't run. We'll have a look in the morning. She's working very well and she loves heavy ground."

Jim Goldie - Jack Dexter - "I'm very pleased with him. Things have gone really well this spring. He's obviously not 100 per cent, but he'll be as well as he was when he won it two years ago, so I'm looking forward to it. It looks a very good race this year. There's the Middle Park winner (Astaire), the filly who won the Wentworth (Aetna) and last year's winner (Dinkum Diamond). He's a contender, as they say."

I would imagine Justice Day will lead the field along together with Dinkum Diamond and hopefully Graham Lee can keep him going to the end.

The last 10 years winners are below :

2014 Dinkum Diamond69-512/1Henry CandyOisin Murphy110
2013 Jack Dexter49-515/8FJim GoldieGraham Lee110
2012 The Cheka69-212/1Eve Johnson HoughtonNeil Callan113
2011 Jimmy Styles79-222/1Clive CoxAdam Kirby111
2010 Inxile59-517/2David NichollsPaul Hanagan111
2009 Prime Defender59-23/1FB W HillsMichael Hills112
2008 Aahayson49-214/1K R BurkeFergus Sweeney110
2007 Rising Shadow69-513/2David BarronJimmy Quinn113
2006 Les Arcs69-215/2Tim PittNeil Callan116
2005 La Cucaracha48-1116/1B W HillsMichael Hills103

Given the success of the Cheltenham blog posts I will also be delving into some other big races over varying distances as we progress through the flat season in order to try and build up a bank and of course there is the "Grand National" meeting coming up shortly.

Wednesday, 25 March 2015

Sprinters to Follow

The sprinters to follow page is beginning to take shape and I will be adding to it over the next few weeks and updating trainer comments on a daily basis so please revisit to keep on top of things.


It's the first week of the flat and I've just been round to my local newsagent and purchased the  Racing Post Weekender which cost me £3.00.
Although the price is up they still haven't put back in the paper "Weightwatcher" which is a useful tool when looking through and evaluating the form. What you have to do to get that element now is purchase Thursdays edition of the Racing Post which would appear to be some sort of marketing ploy to rake in more money from loyal readers.
On looking through the "Weekender" it's become like an old flat handicapper - the odd glimmer of hope but mostly nowhere !
Lets hope we get an injection of more than just ink soon !

Thursday, 12 March 2015

The Festival - Day 4

This week is proving to be a very successful venture.

A comment we've heard a lot of this week from winning connections is "He's had a wind operation and all we wanted was good ground"

Onto to Day 4 the final day.

1.30 Triumph Hurdle
This race used to catch my imagination but it's not going to be this year and maybe I will give it a good go next.

2.05 Vincent O'Brien County Hurdle
I selected Rich Coast at the beginning of the week and I've been sitting and waiting for any comment from the trainer as to whether this horse would run or not, but there was confirmation this am when he was declared for the race.
Noel Meade is an excellent trainer and Rich Coast is an improving horse who has the flat speed required. He will be at home on the better going, provided it doesn't rain too much and the 20/1 available is a fair price, although at the time of writing we are yet to know who will be riding.
The dogs have been barking for The Game Changer all week so he may well attract some support.

2.40 Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle
Don't really have a view on this race and will sit it out.

3.20 The Gold Cup
After Coneygree's win at Newbury I wanted connections to run him in the Gold Cup and thankfully they have as I think he has a massive chance and hopefully they will just let him run his race.
Obviously he is not the only horse in the race with form and its very competitive and should have us all glued to whatever we can get our eyes on. I certainly wouldn't put anyone off sticking with their own thoughts but I am happy with Coneygree carrying my money.

4.00 St James Place Foxhunter Chase
I put in good words for Carsonstown Boy and Two Rockers in February and at the time the former was 33/1 and he is now a best priced 20/1 with Coral. Two Rockers on the other hand doesn't run and Adrian Maguire is represented by Seventh Sign who fits a few trends for the race and this ex Alan King horse has a decent chance for the Irish and he too is 20/1 with a number of bookmakers.
J J Codd is having an excellent week in the amateur events and goes for the treble having won on Cause of Causes and The Package by riding Vital Plot who is a massive 25/1 - definitely worth an ew wager.

4.40 Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys
I have had David Pipe's Vieux Lion Rouge in mind for this race all week and although he has the burden of 11-6 he has the assistance of Keiron Edgar who has been in fine form of late. Kieron missed the Cheltenham festival last year through injury and I'm sure he will be trying his heart out to win this as he was gutted last year. The stable are in top form and have been unlucky not to have had at least one more winner this week.
It will be interesting to see who rides what for the Mullins stable as McKinley is well handicapped for a Grade 1 winner.

5.15 A P McCoy Grand Annual Chase
The final race of the week and it would be great for the maestro himself to win on Ned Buntline and I don't really wish to oppose him for that reason - but irony often plays its part on these occasions and Jonjo O'Neill has booked Paul Carberry to ride Eastlake who has gone well here in the past and 14/1 is a fair price.

Have a great day and Good Luck to all !